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"If everything goes perfectly according to plan over the next 30 years and they don't literally kill anyone through an accident it has huge value."

I wish I had the guts to just lie to investors with a bald face. I personally think Musk is an underachiver.



that's a fake quote and not at all related to anything I wrote.


It's not a fake quote. It's an extreme distillation of the apparent core of your argument. It's how it appears to me. It's related to what you wrote in that someone read it and came away with that conclusion.


cool, and adding the part how "they don't literally kill anyone through an accident" invalidates your argument. that's a fake quote.

you can respond with actual substantiative points, but don't make stuff up.


I'm taking the position that spaceflight is inherently dangerous. I'm not sure how you can see that as made up. Further any rational person has to recognize that a commercial mission that results in death is going to be a unique challenge that will certainly slow down or even halt the progress of the company involved.

None of this is "fake." You simply neglected to include it. I'm expanding the scope to include a realistic scenario since realism seems so easily lost in these conversations.


Looking back at history, that's a weak argument.

During the age of exploration, the mortality rate of crew on long-distance voyages was 30 to 50%. An example of this is the first circumnavigation of Earth by Magellan, in which 90% of his crew died, including Magellan himself. He lost 4 of his 5 ships.

This egregiously high risk of death did not stop or slow down the wave of colonialism.




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